The next step / a falsifiable scaling experiment

Can geometry tell us what not to calibrate?

Eight writable walls make 256 possible records. Instead of measuring every record to train the listener, we select a limited, causally plausible set of wall combinations and reconstruct the others from their interactions. A second strategy uses the same number of calibration states but chooses by interaction order.

01 · constraints

Choose the experiment

Maximum calibrated wall configurations
65of 256
Each configuration must be probed from every selected source. Both models use a causally admissible, downward-closed training set.
Observation deadline
Physical interrogation cost
Detector noise / one-patch RMS
4%
Computing geometry and independent truth traces…
Leakage prevention: each decoder is fitted with a Map containing only its calibrated wall states. All 256 simulated states are held separately for scoring and trace inspection. No held-out configuration is consulted when fitting.
02 · causal reach

Which wall interactions can arrive?

8 material bits

The path estimates search shortest tours among six representative boundary cells per sector, from a source to all required patches and then the fixed receiver. A 40-step safety margin comes from earlier K=8 observations; it is not a rigorous support bound. The physical wave simulator is independent of this tour calculation.

Actual calibration
—
states per source (out of 256)
Common unseen test set
—
records calibrated by neither model
Actual training pings
—
calibration states × physical sources
03 · matched budget

Does geometric selection win?

No experiment scored yet.
Causally ranked subsets—
held-out exact recovery at selected noise
Degree-first control—
held-out exact recovery at selected noise
Calibration interaction orderGeometry-firstDegree-first
Waiting for the simulation.

Three independent Gaussian-noise trials per unseen record. For comparisons at zero noise, the noiseless exact counts are also shown. The control uses interaction order first, then geometric arrival within each order. All calibration states are restricted by the same causal eligibility cutoff.

04 · what failed and why

Inspect a record the reader never calibrated

The actual waveform is used only here, to evaluate the two predictions made from their restricted training sets.

True unseen receiver echoGeometry modelDegree-first model

The plotted source is the first chosen physical source, with 100 samples from the selected window. Decoding uses all the sources selected above.

Research ledger · important limits

What would constitute progress?

Success: geometry picks a smaller calibrating family with equal or better held-out accuracy, or identifies a physically grounded rule predicting which interactions must be modeled before hearing them. Failure: geometry loses to degree-first at equal calibration and acquisition budget. Both outcomes teach us about this cavity's readable memory.

There is no claim of novel wave physics, learning wall plasticity, polynomial-time general memory, or transfer of OpenAI's 2026 Euclidean local-smoothing theorem. Calibration is exhaustive over the subset of records selected, and the full 256-state oracle is an expensive diagnostic used to evaluate failure honestly. The page reports a single deterministic noise seed, not a general statistical superiority result.

Other necessary experiments: lower-memory geometry selection as K grows, independent geometries and grid sizes, instrument-energy matching, uncertainty calibration, and a local physical write rule. The previous four-bit live reader remains available as a separate experiment.